C&
Cushman & Wakefield plc (CWK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue rose 11% YoY to $2.61B, with service line fee revenue up 9% and continued strength across Leasing (+9%) and Capital Markets (+21%); diluted EPS was $0.22 and adjusted EPS was $0.29 .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $2.606B vs $2.507B consensus and adjusted EPS $0.29 vs $0.278 consensus; beat driven by broad-based Americas momentum in leasing and capital markets and improved debt availability supporting transactions, plus Services organic growth of 7%* .
- Guidance raised: FY25 adjusted EPS growth lifted to 30%-35% (from 25%-35%); management reiterated leasing growth toward the high end of 6%-8%, capital markets mid-high teens, and services mid-single digit .
- Balance sheet de-risking continues: term loans repriced to SOFR+2.50%, revolver extended to 2030, YTD prepayments $300M, cumulative two-year prepayments $500M—supporting lower interest expense and improved free cash flow conversion (TTM $165M, ~61%) .
Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit Capital Markets revenue growth (+21%), with strength across all asset classes and deal sizes in the Americas, aided by improved debt availability and resilient transaction environment across major markets .
- Largest third-quarter leasing revenue in company history; leasing up 9%, led by office and industrial demand in the Americas, with EMEA also strong and APAC supported by Singapore/Australia .
- Services organic revenue grew 7% (accelerated), supported by facilities services and project management; EMEA project management highlighted, and management emphasized “desiloing” and cross-sell strategies for profitable growth .
What Went Wrong
- Earnings from equity method investments declined YoY: Greystone JV recorded non-cash loan loss provisions (company share $18.5M in Q3); JV mix shift reduced MSR value and increased credit loss provisions, weighing on reported equity-method results .
- APAC leasing revenue down 6% (tough Greater China comp), and APAC EBITDA lower YoY in Q3, though capital markets surged and services grew; management noted JV timing headwind (~$5M) .
- Other income fell due to prior-year insurance proceeds; stock-based compensation increased (unique 2024 performance awards), creating year-over-year expense pressure despite overall margin improvements .
Financial Results
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We reported 9% service line fee revenue growth… accelerating organic Services revenue growth to 7%. Following record third quarter cash flow generation, we prepaid an additional $100 million in debt yesterday, bringing our two-year cumulative debt prepayments to $500 million.” — CEO Michelle MacKay .
- “Adjusted EPS grew by 26% year-over-year to $0.29… we are raising our expectations for adjusted EPS and now anticipate full year 2025 adjusted EPS growth of 30% to 35%.” — CFO Neil Johnston .
- “We’re scaling up our business quickly [in data centers]… our proprietary site selection tool Athena… is streamlining the site selection process for our clients.” — CEO Michelle MacKay .
- “We ended the quarter with net leverage of 3.4x, lowest it’s been since Q4 2022… trailing 12 month free cash flow was $165 million, ~61% conversion.” — CFO Neil Johnston .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital Markets hiring ramp: 45 advisors with 200% higher average gross revenue than 2024; platform still in ramp phase, global buildout underway .
- EMEA margins: +170 bps YoY; prior quarter benefited from FX/comp timing; margin improvement driven by retooled project management and brokerage scale .
- APAC JV timing: ~$5M headwind from China JV timing; expect full-year roughly flat contribution; excluding headwind, APAC EBITDA would be up YoY .
- Services margin drivers: shift up the value chain (mechanical/engineering), technology use, cross-sell (“Plus One” initiative), higher client retention .
- Momentum into Q4: Management cited continued momentum into early Q4 post-October .
Estimates Context
- Both revenue and EPS were beats versus consensus. Drivers: Americas leasing (+11% in region) and capital markets (+16% in Americas) strength, improved debt availability, and Services organic growth; margins expanded with expense discipline (Adjusted EBITDA margin +23 bps YoY) .
- Outlook implies potential upward estimate revisions for FY EPS on raised guidance (30%-35%), with leasing expected near high end of 6%-8% and capital markets mid-high teens; Services mid-single digit growth maintained .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong topline and breadth: Double-digit capital markets and high-single-digit leasing growth, with Service line fee revenue up 9%—supports sustained momentum into Q4 .
- Beat and raise: Revenue and adjusted EPS beats alongside increased FY25 adjusted EPS growth guidance to 30%-35%—a positive catalyst for sentiment and potential estimate revisions .
- Structural improvements: Debt repricings and prepayments lower interest burden; revolver extended to 2030; net leverage at 3.4x; liquidity remains robust at $1.7B .
- Services profitability mix: Strategic shift to higher-margin technical services, desiloing, and cross-sell underpin margin trajectory; project management retooling is showing results, especially in EMEA .
- JV non-cash noise quarantined in non-GAAP: Excluding Greystone MSR/loan-loss related items improves comparability of core performance; watch Greystone credit trends but note non-cash nature .
- Regional broadening: UK leasing strength (+37%), EMEA confidence buoyed by rate cuts; APAC mixed with China JV timing, but capital markets strong in India/Japan .
- Near-term trading: Focus on Q4 pipeline momentum and capital markets deal flow; medium-term thesis centers on platform buildout (data centers, Athena), talent recruitment, and operating leverage .